Russia’s population is no longer dwindling, as the birth rate has been steadily rising since 2009. So much so, that in 2011 Russia became the largest market in Europe for children’s goods as parents splash out on the cute clothing and toys they never had when they were growing up in the former Soviet Union.
The political stability of the past decade has helped inspire more couples to start families, resulting in a tidal wave of post-Soviet babies. This has fed through to the children’s goods sector and sales of baby clothes, baby food, toys and accessories have rocketed.
The toys market experience a real boom
There were 22 million children under the age of 14 in Russia last year, and sales in Moscow accounted for one quarter of the total demand for toys, says PMR retail market analyst Katarzna Twardzik. That represents a market worth $11.3 billion against the $7 billion made on toys in 2006, according to RBC Market Research, making Russia Europe’s biggest toy market.
By contrast Germany posted $10.5 billion of sales in toys in 2009 but is only growing at an annual rate of 1.5pc. Most other major European toy markets are in decline.
Despite the increase in births, this growth in sales of children’s products is in line with other aspects of Russia’s consumer market. For instance, Russia became the largest European milk market in 2011. By 2018, Russia is predicted to become the largest consumer market in Europe for all goods.
Russia, a retailer’s paradise
With a population of some 11.5 million registered inhabitants, most consumer spending growth is concentrated in Moscow, the largest city in Europe. But as Russia recovers from the economic crisis, its burgeoning prosperity is spreading slowly to the 11 regional cities with more than a million residents – known as the Millionniki – turning Russia into a retailer’s paradise. Russia’s per capita incomes may be half of those in Europe, but as Russians have no debt to speak of they have the same spending power as Europeans – and they love to shop.
Russia has already become the 11th-largest consumer market in the world and the second or third largest in Europe in many product categories, according to market research company Euromonitor.
Russia is quickly closing the gap on Germany – currently Europe’s largest retail market. Russia’s total annual retail turnover was $470.3 billion (£296.9 billion) in 2009, according to state statistics agency Rosstat. In 2010, this figure rose to $543.5 billion, and grew by 5.4 percent in the first half of 2011. While Germany’s total retail sales are still higher than Russia’s, its growth rate was not as sharp, increasing by 1.1 percent and 1.3 percent in real terms in 2010 and 2011 respectively, according to provisional figures from the federal statistics office.
With the increase in consumer spending power, Russians are looking to buy better quality and more sophisticated products. “Food is the fastest-growing segment in Russian retail,” says Ms Twardzik. “It can already compete with leading western European countries.”
More generally, Russia’s clothing, footwear and accessories market is the fastest growing in Europe and was already worth $56.8 billion (£35.9 billion) in 2010. “If it maintains its current 10 percent-a-year expansion, then it will overtake Germany to become the biggest market in this segment within the next two years,” says Ms Twardzik.
Source: Russia beyond the headlines
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